That is the 12 months for the Orioles.
Baltimore has received the American League East solely twice since 1998, but it surely’s destined to return to the highest of division in 2025. So says my history-based prediction system.
My laptop program compares every group’s document throughout the previous three seasons (2022-2024) in opposition to the corresponding marks for 1,318 golf equipment from the period of free company, which started in 1976.
The 2025 forecast for a given group is decided by its 50 closest matches (CMs), the 50 golf equipment from the previous that had been most much like the present-day squad.
My system focuses on the subsequent efficiency of every CM. The Tampa Bay Rays of 2022-2024, for instance, had been remarkably much like the Los Angeles Dodgers of 2008-2010. That congruence conjures up a query: What occurred to the next Dodgers, particularly the 2011 Los Angeles group?
I totaled up the next-year data of the 50 CMs for every 2025 membership, awarding one level for every group that surpassed .500, two extra factors for a playoff qualification, three further factors for a league pennant, and 4 further factors for a world championship.
Baltimore emerges from this course of with 117 factors, simply essentially the most within the AL East. Therefore my projected order of end in 2025:
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1. Baltimore Orioles
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2. New York Yankees
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3. Tampa Bay Rays
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4. Boston Pink Sox
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5. Toronto Blue Jays
You’ll discover breakdowns for all 5 groups beneath. Every abstract begins with the membership’s 2025 prediction factors, adopted by its 2024 document, then the next-season outcomes for the 50 CMs. The ultimate line discloses the very closest match of all, the present membership’s doppelganger, if you’ll. (Don’t be alarmed if the next-year document for the closest CM varies from my general prediction. That occurs. What really issues is the cumulative rating for all 50 CMs.)
A brand new installment will arrive in your e-mail upon posting
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2025 prediction factors: 117
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2024 document: 91-71
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Closest matches (CM): 50
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Received World Collection in subsequent season: 3 of fifty
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Received league title in subsequent season: 6 of fifty
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Certified for playoffs in subsequent season: 24 of fifty
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Topped .500 in subsequent season: 39 of fifty
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Closest match of all for 2025: 2014 Reds (76-86)
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2025 prediction factors: 86
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2024 document: 94-68
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Closest matches (CM): 50
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Received World Collection in subsequent season: 1 of fifty
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Received league title in subsequent season: 3 of fifty
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Certified for playoffs in subsequent season: 19 of fifty
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Topped .500 in subsequent season: 35 of fifty
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Closest match of all for 2025: 2022 Astros (106-56)
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2025 prediction factors: 73
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2024 document: 80-82
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Closest matches (CM): 50
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Received World Collection in subsequent season: 2 of fifty
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Received league title in subsequent season: 3 of fifty
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Certified for playoffs in subsequent season: 14 of fifty
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Topped .500 in subsequent season: 28 of fifty
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Closest match of all for 2025: 2011 Dodgers (82-79)
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2025 prediction factors: 56
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2024 document: 81-81
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Closest matches (CM): 50
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Received World Collection in subsequent season: 0 of fifty
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Received league title in subsequent season: 3 of fifty
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Certified for playoffs in subsequent season: 11 of fifty
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Topped .500 in subsequent season: 25 of fifty
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Closest match of all for 2025: 2004 Blue Jays (67-94)
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2025 prediction factors: 48
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2024 document: 74-88
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Closest matches (CM): 50
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Received World Collection in subsequent season: 1 of fifty
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Received league title in subsequent season: 1 of fifty
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Certified for playoffs in subsequent season: 7 of fifty
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Topped .500 in subsequent season: 27 of fifty
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Closest match of all for 2025: 2012 Rockies (64-98)
